Saturday, June 19, 2004

[Euro 2004] Italy drew 1-1 with Sweden, making their final Group C game against Bulgaria a must-win. This is not impossible. Bulgaria is weak, having lost both games and getting thrashed by Sweden 0-5. Sweden should be good enough to defeat Denmark. All Italy can do is beat Bulgaria by two goals and hope that Sweden v Denmark is not a 2-2 draw. BBC explains the scenarios:

- If Italy beat Bulgaria and Denmark-Sweden ends in 0-0 draw, Sweden and Italy will advance to the last eight.
- If Italy beat Bulgaria by two goals and Denmark-Sweden ends in 1-1 draw, Italy will join Sweden in the knock-out stages. However if Italy beat Bulgaria by just one goal and Denmark-Sweden ends in a 1-1 draw, Denmark will join Sweden in the quarter-finals.
- If Italy beat Bulgaria and Denmark-Sweden ends in 2-2 draw, Sweden and Denmark will advance to the quarter-finals

Got that?